EIA updates 2019, 2020 bioenergy forecasts

By Erin Voegele | July 09, 2019

The U.S. Energy Information Administration has released the July edition of its Short-Term Energy Outlook, predicting nonhydropower renewables will provide 11 percent of utility-scale generation this year, increasing to 13 percent next year.

The EIA currently predicts wood biomass will be used to generate 113,000 MWh per day of electricity this year, increasing to 114,000 MWh per day next year. Generation from waste biomass is expected to reach 56,000 MWh per day in both years.

In the electric power sector, generation from waste biomass is expected to reach 47,000 MWh per day this year, increasing to 48,000 MWh per day next year. Generation from wood biomass is also expected to increase, from 37,000 MWh per day in 2019 to 38,000 MWh per day in 2020.

Across other sectors, generation from waste biomass is expected to be at 76,000 MWh per day in both 2019 and 2020. Generation from waste wood biomass is also expected to remain at 9,000 MWh per day in both years.  

The electric power sector is expected to 0.268 quadrillion Btu (quad) of waste biomass in 2019, increasing to 0.269 quad in 2020. The sector is also expected to consume 0.226 quad of wood biomass this year, increasing to 0.234 quad next year.

The industrial sector is expected to consume 0.168 quad of waste biomass this year, falling to 0.167 quad next year. The sector is also expected to consume 1.443 quad of wood biomass in 2019, falling to 1.394 quad in 2020.

The commercial sector is expected to consume 0.044 quad of waste biomass and 0.084 quad of wood biomass in both 2019 and 2020.

The residential sector is expected to consume 0.536 quad of wood biomass this year, increasing to 0.54 quad next year.

Across all sectors, the consumption of waste biomass is expected to reach 0.481 quad this year, falling to 0.48 quad next year. Consumption of wood biomass is also expected to fall from 2.287 quad in 2019 to 2.252 quad in 2020.

The electric power sector is expected to have 7,021 MW of biomass capacity in place by the end of 2019, including 4,113 MW of waste biomass capacity and 2,908 MW of wood biomass capacity. By the end of 2020, biomass capacity is expected to fall to 6,999 MW, including 4,049 MW of waste biomass capacity and 2,950 MW of wood biomass capacity.

Across other sectors, biomass capacity is expected to reach 6,577 MW by the end of 2019, including 866 MW of waste biomass capacity and 5,711 MW of wood biomass capacity. Biomass capacity is expected to fall to 6,569 MW by the end of 2020, including 866 MW of waste biomass capacity and 5,703 MW of wood biomass capacity.