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2026 Outlook for Maritime Biofuels

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By Brittany M. Pemberton, Shailesh Sahay and Lauren E. Davidson

April 09, 2026

Marine Biofuel Policy Markets 

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The Greater Washington Region Clean Cities Coalition and the Maryland Biofuels Task Force on March 31 stated that recent federal action by the U.S. EPA provides Maryland with a timely opportunity to establish a Clean Fuel Standard.

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The U.S. exported 608,572.1 metric tons of wood pellets in February, down 37% when compared to the previous month and down 24% when compared to February 2025, according to data released by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service on April 2.

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Evos Rotterdam has commenced the realization of a major expansion project for low-carbon methanol and ethanol storage, following a signing ceremony held at the Port of Rotterdam. The project is expected to become operational early 2028.

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BBI International and Ethanol Producer Magazine are pleased to announce the preliminary agenda for the 2026 International Fuel Ethanol Workshop & Expo, taking place June 2–4 in St. Louis, Missouri.

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Produced by BBI International, the Sustainable Fuels Summit, Carbon Capture & Storage Summit and Ethanol 101 expand FEW into a comprehensive platform for biofuels innovation, carbon management and industry education.

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Advanced Biofuels Canada Association President Fred Ghatala on March 12 released a statement highlighting the stabilizing role of biofuels amidst current global crude oil supply shocks.

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The U.S. exported 964,860.7 metric tons of wood pellets in January, up from 834,615 metric tons in December and 825,269.9 metric tons in January 2025, according to data released by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service on March 12.

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The U.K. Trade Remedies Authority on March 12 announced it no longer plans to recommend the U.K. government implement countervailing duties on U.S. renewable diesel, citing the expiration of the biodiesel blenders tax credit (BTC).

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The Advanced Woody Biomass Alliance on March 9 launched as a global industry platform uniting organizations to expand the use of woody biomass as a versatile, renewable carbon solution sourced from working forests.

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EcoCeres Inc. on Feb.27 urged European policymakers and aviation stakeholders to keep the EU SAF market open and competitive, cautioning that potential trade defense measures on imported SAF could undermine EU climate objectives

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The California Legislative Analyst’s Office, the state legislature’s nonpartisan fiscal and policy advisor, on Feb. 24 recommended state lawmakers do not move forward with California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s proposal to create a SAF tax credit.

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VAROPreem is launching Preem Redefine HVO100, a Nordic Swan Ecolabelled fuel, in Norway. The fuel is produced from raw materials such as residues from paper pulp production and food industries.

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U.S. manufacturers produced approximately 880,000 tons of densified biomass fuel in September, according to the U.S Energy Information Administration. Sales of densified biomass fuel reached 970,000 tons during the month.

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The U.S. exported more than 10.09 million metric tons of wood pellets in 2025, up more than 1% when compared to 2024, according to data released by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service on Feb. 19.

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The U.S. Energy Information Administration reduced its forecasts for 2026 and 2027 renewable diesel production in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released Feb. 10. The outlook for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production was maintained.

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New research published on Feb. 10 by Vanguard Renewables shows that using Midwestern agricultural waste—particularly crop residues and food waste—can generate approximately 1,580 trillion Btu of renewable natural gas (RNG).

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Neste Corp. on Feb. 5 released Q4, reporting that renewable sales volume were up for both the quarter and the full year 2025. The renewable diesel market improved toward the end of the year and record-high SAF sales supported profitability.

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The U.S. exported 891,093.3 metric tons of wood pellets in November, up from 814,292.2 metric tons in October and 874,171.2 metric tons in November 2025, according to data released by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service on Jan. 29.

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The New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board on Jan. 22 unanimously adopted regulations implementing a Clean Transportation Fuel Program, making New Mexico the fourth U.S. state to adopt a clean fuel standard.

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The planned merger between Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern hit a snag on Jan. 16 when the Surface Transportation Board issued a unanimous decision finding that the merger application is incomplete.

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The U.S. Energy Information Administration currently expects the production of renewable diesel and other biofuels, including SAF, to expand in 2027, according to the agency’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released Jan. 13.

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The U.S. exported 814,292.2 metric tons of wood pellets in October, down from both 830,469.7 metric tons the previous month and 840,011.1 metric tons in October 2024, according to data released by the USDA on Jan. 8.

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The clean fuels industry strengthened its foundation in 2025 behind record policy targets, new engine capabilities and proven performance, setting expectations for continued growth in 2026, according to Clean Fuels Alliance America.

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The U.S. exported 830,468.7 metric tons of wood pellets in September, down from 894,320.3 metric tons in August and 898,133.7 metric tons in September 2024, according to data released by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service on Dec. 11.

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New initiative promotes US biofuels for maritime market

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By American Biogas Council and the Renewable Fuels Association,

December 11, 2025

The American Biofuels Maritime Initiative, a unified group of bioenergy stakeholders co-chaired by the American Biogas Council and the Renewable Fuels Association, announced its official launch on Dec. 11

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In 2025, SAF output is expected to reach 1.9 million metric tons (Mt) (2.4 billion liters), double the 1 Mt produced in 2024, according to the IATA. However, in 2026, SAF production growth is projected to slow down and reach 2.4 Mt.

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U.S. manufacturers produced approximately 940,000 tons of densified biomass fuel in August, according to the latest edition of the U.S. EIA’s latest Monthly Densified Biomass Fuels Report. Sales of densified biomass fuel reached 940,000 tons.

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The U.K. government on Nov. 24 announced it will apply a new anti-dumping duty on imports of biodiesel from China. The ad valorem duties range from $14.79% to 54.64% and will apply to biodiesel and renewable diesel. SAF is excluded.

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The U.K. Trade Remedies Authority on Nov. 28 proposed new countervailing duties on U.S. renewable diesel. The agency is recommending duties be set at £257.80 to £303.56 per metric ton, which equates to approximately $1.09 to $1.29 per gallon.

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